Minneapolis-St. Paul opens today with patchy fog burning off by mid-morning, giving way to a mostly sunny sky, a high near 86°F, and a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms — a good day to get outside, but keep half an eye on the radar between 1 PM and 5 PM CT.
Today’s Setup
The National Weather Service’s Twin Cities office says leftover moisture from Saturday’s storms is fueling this morning’s dense fog, especially before 7 AM CT. Once that clears, a ridge builds overhead and keeps most of the metro dry. Forecasters note a plume of deeper moisture is parked roughly along a Mankato-to-Cambridge line east into western Wisconsin, which could fire off a few isolated showers and storms with afternoon heating. Instability is way down from the 4th, so don’t expect much more than a rumble of thunder from the strongest cells. Winds stay light out of the northeast at 0 to 5 mph.
Best Window To Be Outside
Late morning through early afternoon, before that 1 to 5 PM CT window, is your best bet for yard work, a bike ride along the river, or a picnic at Minnehaha Falls or Lake Harriet. Tonight stays mild near 68°F with a lingering storm chance before 7 PM CT, then clears out nicely.
Storm Risk And Timing
Monday looks drier for the Twin Cities themselves, sunny and warm near 89°F, as a cold front stalls toward North Dakota and northwest Minnesota rather than pushing through the metro. The bigger story: NWS forecasters see an increasing signal for a potential MCS, a large storm complex, bringing severe weather and heavy rain risk late Tuesday into Wednesday, worth noting for the Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians series July 7-8 at Target Field. Grab tickets on SeatGeek or tickets on StubHub now, but keep a rain plan ready for the Tuesday opener. Behind that system, Thursday through Saturday turns dry with near-normal temperatures.
What To Wear Or Bring
With storm chances lingering today and tonight, toss a packable rain jacket or compact travel umbrella in the car. Heading to the Wynonna Judd and Melissa Etheridge show tonight at The Ledge Amphitheater? Same advice, since a stray shower is possible before 7 PM. For Monday’s Bob Dylan concert at Mystic Lake Amphitheater, it will be sunny and closer to 89°F, so a Stanley tumbler 40oz for ice water is the smarter pack. Twins fans can gear up with a Minnesota Twins jersey or Minnesota Twins fitted cap, and Death Cab for Cutie fans catching the July 10 Armory show can grab a Death Cab for Cutie t-shirt before tickets on StubHub sell out.
If Tuesday’s storm threat brings power blips, the DARAN 288Wh Power Station deal is worth a look before it’s needed.
Dinner Idea
With rain flirting with the metro today, it’s a solid night for slow cooker chili, beef stew, or a big pot of soup — a programmable slow cooker or an enameled cast iron Dutch oven makes it easy. Need ingredients? You can order groceries on Amazon and have everything for tonight’s dinner delivered to your door.
Next Few Days
Expect a warm, mostly dry Monday near 89°F, an unsettled Tuesday into Wednesday with the season’s most organized storm threat so far, then a quiet, near-normal stretch Thursday through Saturday. For more outdoor planning, check the fishing gear deals ahead of next weekend’s lake trips.

